- ttm: trailing twelve month
- beta: volatility of stock, if a stock move less than market, beta < 1.0
- earning date: last financial report date
- eps: earning per share
- ex-dividend date: if purchase the stock after the date, will not get the next dividend
- ebitda = revenue - all operating expenses (salary, marketing, maintenance etc)
- ebitda: earning before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization
- operating income = earning before interest, tax
- operating margin = operating income/revenue
- net income = operating income - interest - tax - one-time-item
- gaap net loss: net loss according to generally accepted accounting principle
- example:
ccl: debt 27b, Q1 operating cost 543m, -interest 340m, -payoff debt early 252m, gaap net loss -78m, price/booking ratio = 4 - depreciation: spread cost of physical things
- amortization: spread cost of intangible things
- peg ratio (<1.0 is good): pe ratio adjusted on growth
- free cash flow = operating cash flow - capital expenditure
- issuance of debt: 借债
- stop-loss order: will turn into a market order once price is hit
- short squeeze: stock price rise sharply to squeeze the shorters
- short ratio: % of stocks that are being shorted
- price/book ratio (<1.0 is good)
- equity value/market cap: # of shares * share price
- enterprise value: equity value + debt - cash
- cagr: compound annual growth rate
- operating/profit margin: profit margin only consider cost of production, operating margin consider operating expense
2. warren buffett income statement
- net income
- profit margin
3. 止损止盈抄底
- 小盘股设止损,ema9+0.5-2%, 如are, kmx财报前
- 最好不要抄底, 暴跌的股票可能连续跌几天, 如are, kmx, fi, ups, bull, 熊市抄底也要抄在support才有意义(1month或1quarter均线)
- 根据cis散户理论,第一次下跌可以ignore,第二次下跌要离场
- 根据知乎理论,每次下跌5%要减仓一半或出本金, 让利润继续滚
- 盈利不好的公司出财报前减仓一半以防大跌,减仓一半可以做T
- 6月份一般没有行情,8,9月份一般回调
- 3 day rule: never buy for at least 3 days after bad news as it will fall for 3 days 90% chance
- 非长持公司利好出尽的那天也是短期下降的开始,如Tsla和Intc (bad example),即使长持公司好财报过去几天也是,可以逢高出货
- fair value 缺乏安全边际的慎重, 如ccl在30, mrvl在90
- 谨慎期权, 特别是短期期权,不要covered call,时间难操作且不允许卖正股
- 为什么没有买google 180的leaps
- 加大长持股票的比例
- 长持股票涨10%后加仓
- buy put to protect against price drop (bear put spread, e.g. buy put $30, sell put $29.5)
- ibkr company fair value
- 机构持仓 moomoo top -> profile and financial->holdings change, 机构重仓有止跌作用
- 价格分布图 moomoo mobile -> chart -> trade -> 4 small squres next to candle icon -> more -> market position,显示average/support/resistance
- ask AI to apply short term indicator before panic sell, RSI, 10-20 day EMA, volume, trim but don't exit
- 非明星股追高长期必然失败, open, kss, zim, nklr
- 个人账号创新高时考虑减仓, 至少不要加仓
- 避免all in, SOL coin
- 跟随大趋势, 跟随有结果的人, 但是labanker慎重, kmx, are都是财报后大跌20%, ups先跌后涨
4. 投资策略
- VIX > 30 price low考虑买,VIX < 20 price high 考虑卖
- 30%长持,30%根据vix高抛低吸或做波段,30%大跌抄底
- 选股pe ratio 20以上慎重,如visa, nke
- 尽量右侧交易, 不要在左侧猜测抄底
5. option
- bull spread put: 卖intc 6个月后$40 put, 同时买6个月后$35 put, 赌6个月后涨超40. 最好情况赚premium,最差情况亏spread-premium
- covered call:
选股票上涨的一天做covered call, 否则卖不上价
如果call value已经低于10%premium, 可以buyback然后在更低价重新covered call, 不必等expiration.
小盘股cover all没有意义, 波动大还不能卖, 还不如高抛低吸
5. 短线指标
- 下跌过程中出现锤头线或倒锤头线
- 上涨过程中出现锤头线或倒锤头线
- RSI顶背离:股价上升,RSI下降 //RSI表示买方力量
- RSI底背离,股价下降,RSI上升
- 量价关系:上升趋势中的价升量涨(上涨),上升趋势中的价跌量缩(回调),下降趋势中的价跌量升(抛售),价升量缩(散户买盘)。重点:大量代表主力动向
- VWAP 1分/3分/5分/15分,主看3分
- MAVOL
7. 均线
- 5日均线:强庄线 。个股沿着5日均线运行,表明庄家正在拉升,不破均线不用担心。
- 30日均线:庄家生命线 。个股沿着30日均线运行,表明庄家还在。
- 不同分时图如出现同一个位置的均线点,基本可以确定其具有较大的强度。比如说在60分钟图某条均线形成支撑位,而30分钟的另一条均线的支撑位恰好一样,15分钟5分钟也是,这样这个支撑点就非常强,甚至有80%机率可获支撑。 这个对于短线操作或者买卖操作很重要,是如何买在最低,卖在最高的要诀
7. do/dont
- try to buy industry leader
- try to buy stock with positive P/E ratio
- don't buy at 52 week high
- can buy airline/cruise (ccl), be cautious with medical and telecom
- when to buy dip (缩量下跌)
- don‘t set a small amt trailing stop limit order (被恶意洗盘震荡卖出)
- 试探盘要少量,否则很难cost average down
- 盘前只高卖不买,开盘做超短线,收盘后正常操作
- 短线还是要止损,open盘前2.06,收盘1.7
7. trailing stop loss sell
- trigger is set on a dollar or % drop of market price
- example: bought a stock at $10, then set a trailing stop-loss order to 10% below market price
- trailing amount: 最大下跌幅度
- stop: 触发价
- limit: 卖出价
- limit offset: 从stop来算limit, limit = stop - limit offset, 不直接指定
8. others
- check warren buffett, soros
- check yahoo finance 'analysis' tab for rating and target price
10. 澳洲持有股票12月以上获利按50%交税,为避税
- 持有超过一年
- 持有一个portfolio,财年前把亏钱的仓位全部realise
reference
2. ib intro
3. 春哥选股




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